Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.072170 0.084668 0.098630 0.115374 0.134907 0.156970 0.183783
2025-12-28 0.055369 0.071402 0.091012 0.116738 0.149584 0.190111 0.243923
2026-01-04 0.044371 0.062233 0.085907 0.119528 0.166010 0.227992 0.316939
2026-01-11 0.035989 0.054490 0.080867 0.121121 0.180931 0.266468 0.398116
2026-01-18 0.029222 0.047468 0.075285 0.120630 0.192589 0.302285 0.482219
2026-01-25 0.023291 0.040388 0.068122 0.116175 0.197214 0.328232 0.556111
2026-02-01 0.018608 0.034294 0.061254 0.110693 0.198906 0.349502 0.626016
2026-02-08 0.015473 0.030181 0.056856 0.108424 0.205372 0.379433 0.715443
2026-02-15 0.012884 0.026511 0.052511 0.105326 0.209612 0.405896 0.802978
2026-02-22 0.011259 0.024359 0.050562 0.106315 0.221556 0.448194 0.927102
2026-03-01 0.009743 0.022110 0.047988 0.105528 0.229745 0.484425 1.045261
2026-03-08 0.008246 0.019594 0.044390 0.101906 0.231352 0.507541 1.140222
2026-03-15 0.007131 0.017778 0.042122 0.101137 0.239853 0.548353 1.284656
2026-03-22 0.006453 0.016852 0.041688 0.104510 0.258460 0.614737 1.499173
2026-03-29 0.005891 0.016091 0.041504 0.108484 0.279371 0.690314 1.749861
2026-04-05 0.005314 0.015168 0.040745 0.110912 0.297077 0.761741 2.004628
2026-04-12 0.004711 0.014035 0.039231 0.111101 0.309200 0.821891 2.243110
2026-04-19 0.004037 0.012547 0.036474 0.107396 0.310352 0.854631 2.417224
2026-04-26 0.003427 0.011103 0.033535 0.102572 0.307493 0.876414 2.566428
2026-05-03 0.003003 0.010124 0.031721 0.100626 0.312451 0.920364 2.786064
2026-05-10 0.002614 0.009164 0.029765 0.097848 0.314430 0.956414 2.990284
2026-05-17 0.002377 0.008647 0.029063 0.098834 0.328131 1.028988 3.317361
2026-05-24 0.002127 0.008029 0.027913 0.098145 0.336457 1.087173 3.611968